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United States refugee program is not an “expensive” program, nor given American obligations as a signatory to the 1951 United Nations Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees a voluntary one. 68 In 2014 there were at least 114,000 children waiting to be adopted in the United States. For context 69 in 2014 the U.S. accepted 69,986 the current refugee budget would likely have to double. Additionally currently the sort of child protective services described by Mr. Trump are provided by the local and State government not Washington; thus his proposal would require new legislation and a new expansion of Federal power into American family life. Conclusions The parts of Mr. Trump's immigration reform plan that we are able to score will cost at least $80 billion over the next five years, though other credible estimates find the range runs from $735 billion to $935 billion over the next two decades. His border security leg would cost at least $5.4 billion over five years, however, to fulfill his pledge to completely secure the border, according to other estimates, would cost nearly $524 billion over twenty years. The second leg of his plan - rule of law - will cost somewhere between $419.6 and $619.4 billion over the next two decades, though given the time frame the higher end of that range seems likely. These numbers do not include the secondary order economic effects could shrink GDP by at least 5.7%. This translates to real GDP being $1.6 trillion smaller than it otherwise would have been in the coming decades. For context a 5.7% fall in GDP is similar to the GDP fall during the so called ‘great recession.' 68 Trends in Foster Care and Adoption: FY 2005-2014, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Administration for Children and Families and Administration on Children, Youth and Families, Children's Bureau. Available at: http://www.acf.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/cb/trends_fostercare_adoption2014.pdf 69 Fiscal Year 2014 Refugee Arrivals, Department of Health and Human Services, Office of Refugee Resettlement, Accessed December 20, 2015. Available at: http://www.acf.hhs.gov/programs/orr/resource/fiscal-year-2014-refugee-arrivals

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